Obviously I’m a huge fan of social media. I know it has the power to revolutionize how we market to consumers – in fact it already has. As powerful as it might be, it has a major shortcoming: tracking.
Tracking is a major issue because right now, we really can’t quantify the power of social media. We’re able to identify a community, show pages with large numbers of fans, and create campaigns with interaction – but how does that relate to sales? Sales is the only metric that matters, everything else is just a potential indicator.
The Problem With Indicators
In social media, the most common indicators we use tend to be engagement metrics. The hope is that if a user is going through the site or returning more often than they must be part of the community.
On Facebook and social media sites, we look to fan counts and interaction. Examples include comments and retweets. These are supposed to indicate a growing and more dedicated community.
On the surface that seems fine. But these indicators only look at the top level of interaction.
These questions remain to be answered: How often does someone in the community buy a product? How much did we spend on social media marketing for each consumer?
Why We Can’t Track Social Media
Whenever I tell clients that we can’t actually track social media, they look at me like I’m crazy. It’s true, seriously.
I can’t attribute Facebook to a sale unless the user clicked through from Facebook and bought a product. But, how do you attribute Facebook’s branding impact on the sales funnel?
Without being able to track each consumers interaction on Facebook and Twitter, we’re unable to determine who bought and why. You can’t tag users when they visit your social media profiles (something you can do on your own site).
At first the thought is, who cares if you can’t track it directly. We know that social media has an effect; we’ve seen sales go up since we’ve introduced social media campaigns. But not being able to directly attribute a specific sale to social media, creates other problems.
Forecasting Becomes an Issue
Right now if you want to start a social media campaign, you need to take a complete leap of faith. You have to hope that you have dedicated enough resources without spending too much.
Since we use indicators right now and are not using the actual sale metric, forecasting returns on campaigns becomes messy.
Imagine the following scenario: You’re building a social media campaign that incorporates user-generated content. The site is almost complete, when your developer comes back to you and asks you if you want it to be embeddable on Facebook. The cost of adding this functionality is $1,000. Is it worth it?
The only indicator that you could use right now would be the number of sales that occurred due to referrals from embeddable content (possible YouTube videos or previous Facebook campaigns).
But even this indicator would include a lot of noise. It doesn’t take into account the number of consumers that saw your Facebook page or just heard of the campaign.
If you simply used the indicator to determine the value of adding embed functionality, you might disregard it as a bad investment. The truth might be that the functionality is actually really important and create a high ROI. Right now, we simply just don’t know.
How Are You Projecting Return?
Armed only with indicators and little qualified data, how are you determining what is worth it and what isn’t?
I try to collect as much data as possible in the hopes of finding a true indicator – or at least a better one.
I’ve turn to marketing mix equations and econometric regressions to try and figure out what effect of each variable in the social media equation is. But so far, there just isn’t enough data.
So how are you assigning monetary value to social media marketing?











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