We all know that it’s extremely difficult to track sales through social media. The inability to cookie a user or prove the same person bought the product is a huge obstacle.
Instead, we tend to use signals to determine an estimated increase in sales. We look at metrics such as impressions, branding, page depth, and percentage increase of unaccounted sales, to try and help us gain some understand of the impact our social strategy is having.
However, in the recent growth of social media, it seems like we’ve lost track of what we really want to know; how much did I sell because of social media?
In hopes of making our tracking more succinct and meaningful, we must first determine what information is missing, and then find signals that may correlate with an increase in sales.
The Multiple Ways Social Media Influences Sales
Because social media effects the sales funnel in multiple locations, we should first outline where and when it may influence a sale.
The most problematic is the offline sale. Similar to billboards and TV ads, social media introduces a branding element that may convince a consumer to buy offline. This element is attributed to sales from brand familiarity and loyalty.
Imagine that every time you were online you saw Tide through their Facebook page, their blog, their twitter account. Conventional wisdom states that if you see a logo enough times, finally when you’re in the store, you’re subconsciously more likely to buy that product or brand.
Because of the jump from online to offline tracking the effects of online branding is extremely difficult.
Another way social media can effect sales is in the online impulse buy relationship. Tracking these visitors is simple because of the immediacy of the sale after interacting with the brand.
However, since much of social media interaction occurs on third party sites it can be difficult to accurately assign all sales because of the less sophisticated analytics available.
Similarly, the consumers that engages the brand online then buys the product after a few months, it’s difficult to track. Most cookies (visitor tags used by analytics software) expire after 90 days, meaning we can only attribute sales that occur online after engaging, for up to 90 days.
To add to the complexity, third party sites don’t allow brands to tag visitors, which makes it difficult to track these consumers.
Finally, social media play a major role in customer services, where it can influence return sales.
A consumer that buys a product and receives excellent service, is more likely to buy the same brand again. Tracking these return sales is difficult because they happy overtime, and don’t always occur wholly online (consumers may buy in stores after engaging online with customer service).
As you can see there are a number of obstacles to overcome. Tracking sales will not be an exact science, but by taking our calls from the offline world, we may be able to build a model or define metrics, that help use estimate the impact of our campaigns.
Social Media Metrics to Track
To wholly track a campaign we need to know and monitor a number of metrics. For straightforward sales optimization we need to know:
- total unique referrals from social media sites
- entrance path of all sales
- total impressions of social profiles
- determine size of community and average click through rate to site
Although these statistics may seem simple to track, but because of the fragmented nature of social media, we’re never privileged to all the information.
Consider, unique referrals and entrance paths. The fact that many Twitter users use a desktop application, makes it difficult to track referrals, since these Twitter users will show up as ‘direct traffic’. We can use bit.ly to estimate, but even that link may be passed to other social platforms, poisoning out results.
Also, because there is no single place to aggregate analytics information, it’s difficult and cumbersome to compare data. Right now, we can’t easily see shortened URL click throughs with referring URL and time on site. Time on site would have to come from a package like Google analytics, while click through came from bit.ly.
How to Find Social Media Metrics and Data
Interestingly enough, in my mind, to salve some of the dilemma we have, the best thing to do is introduce coupons. For most online and offline retailers, digital coupons are very simple to do and give a huge amount of information.
Whenever a brand needs to know an estimated reach and return of their social campaigns, they could push a small coupon (10% off, free shipping, or free gift with order). The coupon should only be available and promoted through social media.
After the coupon life-time has passed, we can begin using the data to gain an understanding of the community and their propensity to buy. Compiling the community size, by manually adding friend counts across social sites, allows us to determine the percentage sales from social media.
This number is simply an estimated and may be inflated or deflated based on the community. In the creation of the formula we assumed that the entire community was exposed to the coupon, which is more than likely not true. Also, we may see bleed through from consumers buying and using the coupon that they found online, not through a social interaction.
Conclusion
In the end, however, the number does give us an idea of what impact our social media campaigns have. It is not perfect, and until we are able to access full third-party analytics, exact referrer from applications, and perfectly match promoted content with sales; we won’t be able to exactly track sales. Instead, what we can hope to do is gather a snapshot of the success of our programs, and extrapolate the data.
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Samir – this is exactly the question that I’ve been working on for a few months whenever I have some time for brainstorming. Where is the great online tool to make measuring leads and sales from Twitter and Facebook easy?
We run SEO and pay-per-click campaigns for clients, and as @terryvanhorne says above the big problem with social media marketing right now is being able to conclusively prove to clients that their social media efforts are paying off in terms of leads or sales.
That being said, I did find this post today which sketches out a way to track Twitter traffic using Google Analytics, and then use Google Analytics goals to measure lead and/or sales conversion from that traffic. I am eager to try out this low-budget method (although it looks very manually intensive) – http://www.digitalsolid.com/2009/09/29/measure-clicks-and-roi-from-twitter-posts/
Great post and very interesting comments. I think the tracking issue is very important but the buzz around social media and the confusion among senior managers about the subject made the matrix issue to big and to noisy.
Social media is important because this is the fastest growing media in the media history and as we all know its a big shift in the way things and thoughts are spreading.
If you don’t try it you don’t know it! and trust me it works
Thanks for the comment, I appreciate your thought… However, I write my blog posts as I speak. I don't worry about, the grammar since I really write for myself. 9 out of 10 times, if I can even get what is going on in my head, out on paper, I consider it win. None the less, thanks for the comment.
I can't help it, I gotta point out that you need to do some simple proofing of your articles before posting. Just simple grammatical errors. Your articles are full of important content but also silly mistakes…want help?
This is a great comment. I totally agree with you that it's hard for SMM because we're expected to show quantifiable results. Showing results is extremely important, but shouldn't be the only reason why you invest in social media.
It seems that as more companies use, customers are almost expecting businesses to be online. Maybe you don't need a huge contest or Twitter strategy, but you might need a Facebook page, or Yelp profile.
I think a lot of businesses forget to trust their consultants sometimes, and in the end don't take the risks to make social media effective.
Samir, absolutely agree on the coupons as a great tracker! We've been using them but we were using them before we got into SMM so we just saw it as an expansion of our program.
You would think that a 15 year vet of SEO would be keen to measure sales however, I've come to the conclusion that sales have to be devalued to sell clients and **keep** clients in SMM for the long haul. In fact that's why I've only recently been digging deeper into SMM I couldn't sell myself on it before because I absolutely want to have a way to quantify success before I even start a project… no way I even acknowledge SMM with a client… I'd just laugh and say “nope, you can't pay me enough to waste my time and your money twit'n”.
Now I feel like I did in 96 about SEO. One thing I have come to a conclusion on is Social engagement will be huge going forward but it will be years before we learn how to best “quantify” success.
It was the same in SEO I don't see how that magic happens any faster with SMM. The disadvantage now over the early days of SEO is that now there is an expectation of “trackability” for internet marketing… well… IMO, for now we're back to “trust me it works” clients will just have to trust the marketers they hired.
Samir – Nice post. There're several new things to learn from this write-up.
At a root level, the only concern that I've is how much of 'sales' can socialmedia drive?
Concept of coupons is cool, but will it work across different product verticals?
Thanks for the kind words, and the awesome sketch. It's definitely important to be able to track unique visitors, but not only know that there were unique visitors, but where they went, what they saw, and where they came from.
Hi Samir,
great post. Three things I love about this: Your not interested in impression performance and look out to track unique visitors. Your coupon idea is a great way to create unique visits AND track the path through the networks. And you're showing my Social Media Sketch!
Thanks for the comments guys. I think the biggest problem right now is just analytics when it comes to social media. Toolbars, applications, and limited access to 3rd party information makes it difficult to track a consumer, where they came from, and what they bought if they even bought something.
If you know of a tool, or if HubSpot solves many of these problems. (I don't have a HubSpot account), I'd love to know about it.
Great posting on an age old question for marketing of all sorts…social or other…how to measure impact on sales. I think your ideas on couponing make sense though difficult in a service or B2B environment. Ultimately, I think the measure of social media success will have to rely on directional, balanced scorecard that includes referrals, cost per lead, engagement and the other dimensions you mention. I also posted a few thoughts on social media metrics here: http://tinyurl.com/oalumo
Coupons are a great idea. Not sure how well that would work for a non-ecommerce or B2C biz?
I just conducted a webinar today for a few hundred marketing companies. You can view the slides on slideshare. There are some slides that show how HubSpot's software tracks visitors, leads and sales that originate from social media sites.
http://www.hubspot.com/partner-program-lead-gen...
Of course, it's difficult to see what sales social media influences from normal analytics. But, it's certainly possible to see traffic, leads and sales.